Forecast Of Future Ohio River Basin Waterway Traffic 1986 2050

This report documents the development of long-term traffic demand projections for the Ohio River Navigation (ORS). The ORS comprises over 2600 miles of commercially-navigable rivers, serving much of the basic industry located in the Ohio River Basin (ORB). The ORS is comprised by the Ohio River and seven major navigable tributaries, including the Allegheny, Monongahela , Kanawa, Kentucky, Green, Cumberland, and Tennessee rivers. In 1986, this system carried approximately 224 tons of commodity traffic. This report is presented in two volumes: Part I, Industry Analysis, and Part II, Commodity Traffic Demand Forecasts. ORS commodity traffic is comprised of the inputs to and outputs from specific industrial processes. With this in mind, Part I presents an analysis of past and expected future developments in those ORB industries that generate significant amounts of waterway commodity traffic. The industries discussed are the electric utility, coal mining, petroleum refining, quarrying, construction, agriculture, chemicals, nonferrous metals, steel, and paper industries. Part II presents traffic demand forecast for the period 1986-2050 according to nine commodity grouping used in economic system modeling. These groupings are coal and coke, petroleum fuels, crude petroleum, aggregates, grains, chemicals, ores and minerals, iron and steel, and miscellaneous commodities. The forecasts are presented for the ORS, for individual rivers, and for lock and dam projects. In addition, high and low alternative forecasts are presented in Part II, Section 12.