Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting

Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting
Author: James H. Stock
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 350
Release: 2008-04-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226774740


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The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.


How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
Language: en
Pages: 31
Authors: Zidong An
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2019-03-05 - Publisher: International Monetary Fund

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We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, w
Predicting Recessions
Language: en
Pages: 32
Authors: Chikako Baba
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2011-10-01 - Publisher: International Monetary Fund

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This study proposes a data-based algorithm to select a subset of indicators from a large data set with a focus on forecasting recessions. The algorithm selects
Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting
Language: en
Pages: 350
Authors: James H. Stock
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2008-04-15 - Publisher: University of Chicago Press

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The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this v
A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators
Language: en
Pages: 100
Authors: James H. Stock
Categories: Business cycles
Type: BOOK - Published: 1992 - Publisher:

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This paper examines the forecasting performance of various leading economic indicators and composite indexes since 1988. in particular during the onset of the 1
Current Issues in Economics and Finance
Language: en
Pages: 227
Authors: Bandi Kamaiah
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2018-01-12 - Publisher: Springer

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This book discusses wide topics related to current issues in economic growth and development, international trade, macroeconomic and financial stability, inflat